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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.A number of data show: the distribution of rights and interests of public offerings, the increasing self-purchase of equity funds, the acceleration of the pace of opening positions for sub-new funds, the promotion of equity positions for "old funds", and more new funds will be sold in the middle and late December ... Near the end of the year, Public Offering of Fund is increasing the distribution of rights and interests. Public Offering of Fund is entering the stadium. Choice data shows that the new funds established in the past three months (September 12 to December 12) have raised a total of 289.803 billion yuan, with equity funds raising more than half. Among the above-mentioned sub-IPO funds, 145 funds have earned more than 1% since their establishment, accounting for more than half, and most of them are opening positions quickly. As of December 11th, the revenue of 27 products exceeded 5% (the different shares were calculated separately), and the revenue of the best-performing products reached 51%. (SSE)The first batch of 85 equity indexes of the personal pension investment product "Naxin" entered the market. Recently, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other five departments issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of the Personal Pension System, which made it clear that from December 15, 2024, workers who participated in the basic old-age insurance for urban workers or the basic old-age insurance for urban and rural residents in China can participate in the personal pension system. The CSRC has optimized the supply of products in a timely manner, and has included the first batch of 85 equity index funds in the catalogue of personal pension investment products. Among them, there are 78 products that track various broad-based indices and 7 products that track dividend indices, including ordinary index funds, index enhancement funds and ETF-linked funds such as Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, CSI A500 Index and Growth Enterprise Market Index. The investment style of index funds is clear, and the rate level is low. Incorporating related products is conducive to enriching investors' choices, attracting more payment funds, and further consolidating the pension reserve of the whole society. (CSI)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is now at 43,983.32 points, down 165.24 points.The Brazilian Senate approved the main text of the tax reform bill passed last year.Turkish President Erdogan met with US Secretary of State Blinken in Ankara.

Venezuelan authorities said that 103 people arrested after the July elections were released this week.IBM and Illinois will cooperate with universities and industry to establish the National Center for Quantum Algorithms in Chicago.New york Fed: Michelle Neal, head of the marketing department, resigned from the bank and will leave on March 25th, 2025.